Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001546 0.001631 0.001719 0.001816 0.001920 0.002029 0.002152
2025-06-01 0.001400 0.001520 0.001648 0.001796 0.001961 0.002142 0.002355
2025-06-08 0.001313 0.001457 0.001615 0.001803 0.002021 0.002268 0.002571
2025-06-15 0.001234 0.001392 0.001571 0.001788 0.002048 0.002351 0.002733
2025-06-22 0.001173 0.001344 0.001539 0.001783 0.002080 0.002436 0.002899
2025-06-29 0.001116 0.001294 0.001502 0.001765 0.002093 0.002495 0.003033
2025-07-06 0.001064 0.001248 0.001465 0.001744 0.002100 0.002544 0.003153
2025-07-13 0.001007 0.001191 0.001412 0.001700 0.002073 0.002547 0.003210
2025-07-20 0.000978 0.001168 0.001399 0.001705 0.002108 0.002629 0.003375
2025-07-27 0.000955 0.001150 0.001391 0.001715 0.002148 0.002719 0.003554
2025-08-03 0.000939 0.001141 0.001393 0.001737 0.002204 0.002832 0.003771
2025-08-10 0.000913 0.001118 0.001376 0.001733 0.002224 0.002896 0.003921
2025-08-17 0.000877 0.001082 0.001343 0.001707 0.002216 0.002925 0.004028
2025-08-24 0.000847 0.001053 0.001318 0.001693 0.002224 0.002977 0.004173
2025-08-31 0.000828 0.001037 0.001310 0.001701 0.002264 0.003075 0.004396
2025-09-07 0.000802 0.001012 0.001288 0.001687 0.002271 0.003126 0.004547
2025-09-14 0.000781 0.000992 0.001272 0.001682 0.002289 0.003194 0.004727
2025-09-21 0.000758 0.000968 0.001249 0.001666 0.002290 0.003233 0.004864
2025-09-28 0.000735 0.000944 0.001226 0.001647 0.002285 0.003264 0.004988
2025-10-05 0.000706 0.000910 0.001188 0.001606 0.002245 0.003237 0.005008
2025-10-12 0.000693 0.000899 0.001181 0.001610 0.002275 0.003323 0.005232
2025-10-19 0.000682 0.000891 0.001178 0.001619 0.002312 0.003421 0.005486
2025-10-26 0.000675 0.000887 0.001182 0.001639 0.002368 0.003553 0.005810